Back to UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Prelims1 Featherweight

Diego Rivas vs Rodolfo Rubio Perez

UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux ·Ginasio Municipal Tancredo Neves
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Diego Rivas
Rodolfo Rubio Perez
87% 13%
Why
23
Age
Δ 5y
28

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rivas: 15 sig / 2 TD · Rubio Perez: 17 sig / 2 TD
Diego Rivas
Rodolfo Rubio Perez
46
Sig strikes landed
35
93
Sig strikes attempted
67
70
Total strikes landed
49
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
155s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Diego Rivas

"Pitbull"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
Blue corner

Rodolfo Rubio Perez

"Fito"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28