Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jessica Eye
Leslie Smith
61%
39%
Why
66"
Reach
66"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
15-12
Career record
Δ 2 pp
11-7-1
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Eye: 80 sig / 0 TD ·
Smith: 28 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Eye
Leslie Smith
57
Sig strikes landed
61
127
Sig strikes attempted
147
79
Total strikes landed
82
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
140s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jessica Eye
"Evil"
15-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
Blue corner
W1
Leslie Smith
"The Peacemaker"
11-7-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—