Prelims2
Bantamweight
Pedro Munhoz vs Jerrod Sanders
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
·Scotiabank Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Pedro Munhoz
Jerrod Sanders
58%
42%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 7"
72"
28
Age
Δ 7y
35
21-10
Career record
Δ 12 pp
16-4
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 1
Munhoz: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Sanders: 1 sig / 0 TD
Pedro Munhoz
Jerrod Sanders
30
Sig strikes landed
25
56
Sig strikes attempted
56
42
Total strikes landed
42
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
143s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Pedro Munhoz
"The Young Punisher"
21-10
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
L
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
Blue corner
L1
Jerrod Sanders
"J-Reazie"
16-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—