Prelims1
Lightweight
Mairbek Taisumov vs Marcin Bandel
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mairbek Taisumov
Marcin Bandel
81%
19%
Why
26
Age
Δ 1y
25
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Taisumov: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Bandel: 3 sig / 0 TD
Mairbek Taisumov
Marcin Bandel
35
Sig strikes landed
32
84
Sig strikes attempted
74
52
Total strikes landed
47
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
149s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mairbek Taisumov
"Beckan"
27-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
Blue corner
Marcin Bandel
"Bomba"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25