Prelims1
Bantamweight
Rani Yahya vs Johnny Bedford
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
·Ginasio Nilson Nelson
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Johnny Bedford
71%
29%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
28-12-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
21-14-1
L1
Current streak
L2
7
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Yahya: 13 sig / 3 TD ·
Bedford: 9 sig / 0 TD
Rani Yahya
Johnny Bedford
29
Sig strikes landed
29
55
Sig strikes attempted
62
57
Total strikes landed
42
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
7.1
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
232s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rani Yahya
28-12-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
—
L
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
Blue corner
L2
Johnny Bedford
"Brutal"
21-14-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
L
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—