Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Wilson Reis
Joby Sanchez
57%
43%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
30
Age
Δ 6y
23
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Reis: 22 sig / 9 TD ·
Sanchez: 20 sig / 0 TD
Wilson Reis
Joby Sanchez
28
Sig strikes landed
32
61
Sig strikes attempted
67
64
Total strikes landed
51
3.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
278s
Control time
66s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Wilson Reis
23-11
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
Blue corner
Joby Sanchez
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23