Prelims1
Welterweight
Hyun Gyu Lim vs Takenori Sato
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Hyun Gyu Lim
Takenori Sato
61%
39%
Why
30
Age
Δ 0y
29
13-8-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
19-12-7
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lim: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Sato: 1 sig / 0 TD
Hyun Gyu Lim
Takenori Sato
53
Sig strikes landed
46
104
Sig strikes attempted
105
63
Total strikes landed
45
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.4
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
52s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Hyun Gyu Lim
"The Ace"
13-8-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
Blue corner
L1
Takenori Sato
19-12-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—