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Yoshihiro Akiyama vs Amir Sadollah

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson ·Saitama Super Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Yoshihiro Akiyama
Amir Sadollah
63% 37%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
39
Age
Δ 5y
34
14-7
Career record
Δ 17 pp
6-6
L4
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Akiyama: 57 sig / 2 TD · Sadollah: 42 sig / 0 TD
Yoshihiro Akiyama
Amir Sadollah
43
Sig strikes landed
52
107
Sig strikes attempted
110
55
Total strikes landed
55
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
190s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L4

Yoshihiro Akiyama

14-7 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 4 fights · 0-4
Last 4
L UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
L UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
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L UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
L UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—
Blue corner
L1

Amir Sadollah

6-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
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W UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
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L UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—
W UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—