Prelims2
Featherweight
Steven Siler vs Noad Lahat
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
·San Jose Civic Auditorium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Steven Siler
Noad Lahat
71%
29%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
29-17
Career record
Δ 16 pp
11-3
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Siler: 35 sig / 0 TD ·
Lahat: 26 sig / 4 TD
Steven Siler
Noad Lahat
35
Sig strikes landed
24
77
Sig strikes attempted
58
58
Total strikes landed
39
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
145s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Steven Siler
"Super"
29-17
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
L
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
Blue corner
L1
Noad Lahat
"Neo"
11-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—