🏆 Title fight
Main
Bantamweight
TJ Dillashaw vs Joe Soto
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
·Sleep Train Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
TJ Dillashaw
Joe Soto
66%
34%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
29
Age
Δ 1y
27
W2
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 5
Dillashaw: 151 sig / 2 TD ·
Soto: 62 sig / 0 TD
TJ Dillashaw
Joe Soto
74
Sig strikes landed
49
145
Sig strikes attempted
114
102
Total strikes landed
60
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
213s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
TJ Dillashaw
19-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
Joe Soto
"One Bad Mofo"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27