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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Hugo Viana vs Aljamain Sterling

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller ·Revel Resort
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Hugo Viana
Aljamain Sterling
11% 89%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
9-4
Career record
Δ 15 pp
27-5
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Viana: 15 sig / 0 TD · Sterling: 62 sig / 4 TD
Hugo Viana
Aljamain Sterling
26
Sig strikes landed
52
77
Sig strikes attempted
119
38
Total strikes landed
77
0.0
Takedowns landed
2.8
0.6
Takedowns attempted
6.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
17s
Control time
298s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Hugo Viana

"Wolverine"
9-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
L UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—
W UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
Blue corner
W1

Aljamain Sterling

"Funk Master"
27-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
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