Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Norman Parke
Naoyuki Kotani
65%
35%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
D1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Parke: 34 sig / 2 TD ·
Kotani: 8 sig / 0 TD
Norman Parke
Naoyuki Kotani
51
Sig strikes landed
38
133
Sig strikes attempted
102
77
Total strikes landed
56
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.2
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
201s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Norman Parke
"Stormin'"
23-6-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 3-0
Last 4
D
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
Naoyuki Kotani
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33