Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Neil Seery
Phil Harris
33%
67%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
65"
35
Age
Δ 4y
31
16-14
Career record
Δ 11 pp
22-12
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Seery: 60 sig / 2 TD ·
Harris: 40 sig / 2 TD
Neil Seery
Phil Harris
38
Sig strikes landed
41
88
Sig strikes attempted
99
50
Total strikes landed
61
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.2
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
62s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Neil Seery
"2Tap"
16-14
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
Blue corner
L1
Phil Harris
"Billy"
22-12
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—
L
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—