Main
Middleweight
James Te Huna vs Nate Marquardt
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
·Spark Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
James Te Huna
Nate Marquardt
44%
56%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
33
Age
Δ 2y
35
16-10
Career record
Δ 0 pp
35-20-2
L2
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Te Huna: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Marquardt: 17 sig / 2 TD
James Te Huna
Nate Marquardt
26
Sig strikes landed
23
57
Sig strikes attempted
48
43
Total strikes landed
35
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
132s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
James Te Huna
16-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
L
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
L2
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35-20-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
L
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
L
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—