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Luke Zachrich vs Guilherme Vasconcelos

UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Luke Zachrich
Guilherme Vasconcelos
60% 40%
Why
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zachrich: 66 sig / 1 TD · Vasconcelos: 49 sig / 0 TD
Luke Zachrich
Guilherme Vasconcelos
30
Sig strikes landed
37
64
Sig strikes attempted
80
38
Total strikes landed
49
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
110s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Luke Zachrich

14-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
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Blue corner

Guilherme Vasconcelos

"Bomba"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28