Back to The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Prelims2 Light Heavyweight

Robert Drysdale vs Keith Berish

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Robert Drysdale
Keith Berish
55% 45%
Why
33
Age
Δ 4y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Overturned · Round 1
Drysdale: 0 sig / 1 TD · Berish: 0 sig / 0 TD
Robert Drysdale
Keith Berish
33
Sig strikes landed
32
68
Sig strikes attempted
66
70
Total strikes landed
45
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
124s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Robert Drysdale

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner

Keith Berish

"Sha Bang Bang"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29