Back to UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Roland Delorme vs Michinori Tanaka

UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov ·Rogers Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Roland Delorme
Michinori Tanaka
36% 64%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
30
Age
Δ 7y
24
L1
Current streak
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5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Delorme: 2 sig / 1 TD · Tanaka: 21 sig / 3 TD
Roland Delorme
Michinori Tanaka
34
Sig strikes landed
30
67
Sig strikes attempted
59
50
Total strikes landed
47
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
162s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Roland Delorme

9-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 5 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
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W UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
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W UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
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Blue corner

Michinori Tanaka

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24