Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Yves Jabouin
Mike Easton
51%
49%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
35
Age
Δ 5y
30
20-12
Career record
Δ 3 pp
13-7
L1
Current streak
L3
7
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jabouin: 60 sig / 5 TD ·
Easton: 42 sig / 0 TD
Yves Jabouin
Mike Easton
40
Sig strikes landed
39
100
Sig strikes attempted
102
55
Total strikes landed
57
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
133s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Yves Jabouin
"Tiger"
20-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
W
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
Blue corner
L3
Mike Easton
"The Hulk"
13-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
W
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
—