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Vitor Miranda vs Antonio Carlos Junior

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Vitor Miranda
Antonio Carlos Junior
43% 57%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
79"
35
Age
Δ 11y
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miranda: 21 sig / 0 TD · Carlos Junior: 19 sig / 5 TD
Vitor Miranda
Antonio Carlos Junior
32
Sig strikes landed
37
61
Sig strikes attempted
81
52
Total strikes landed
51
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
130s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Vitor Miranda

"Lex Luthor"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
Blue corner

Antonio Carlos Junior

"Cara de Sapato"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24