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Prelims2 Bantamweight

Pedro Munhoz vs Matt Hobar

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Pedro Munhoz
Matt Hobar
61% 39%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
28
Age
Δ 0y
27
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Munhoz: 24 sig / 2 TD · Hobar: 7 sig / 0 TD
Pedro Munhoz
Matt Hobar
35
Sig strikes landed
41
76
Sig strikes attempted
88
45
Total strikes landed
54
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
112s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Pedro Munhoz

"The Young Punisher"
20-11 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
Blue corner

Matt Hobar

"The Crowbar"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27