Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Johnny Bedford
68%
32%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
30
Age
Δ 2y
31
28-13-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
21-14-1
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 1
Yahya: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Bedford: 4 sig / 0 TD
Rani Yahya
Johnny Bedford
30
Sig strikes landed
34
66
Sig strikes attempted
71
54
Total strikes landed
58
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
7.7
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
229s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rani Yahya
28-13-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
—
L
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Johnny Bedford
"Brutal"
21-14-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—