Prelims2
Lightweight
Anthony Njokuani vs Vinc Pichel
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Anthony Njokuani
Vinc Pichel
39%
61%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
34
Age
Δ 3y
32
17-12
Career record
Δ 16 pp
15-5
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Njokuani: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Pichel: 57 sig / 8 TD
Anthony Njokuani
Vinc Pichel
41
Sig strikes landed
39
74
Sig strikes attempted
81
59
Total strikes landed
56
0.1
Takedowns landed
3.3
0.3
Takedowns attempted
6.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
53s
Control time
254s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Anthony Njokuani
"The Assassin"
17-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
W
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
Blue corner
W1
Vinc Pichel
"From Hell"
15-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—