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Ryan Jimmo vs Sean O'Connell

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ryan Jimmo
Sean O'Connell
68% 32%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
32
Age
Δ 2y
31
L1
Current streak
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jimmo: 20 sig / 1 TD · O'Connell: 15 sig / 0 TD
Ryan Jimmo
Sean O'Connell
38
Sig strikes landed
30
67
Sig strikes attempted
63
56
Total strikes landed
46
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
218s
Control time
66s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ryan Jimmo

"The Big Deal"
19-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
W UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
L UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
W UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Blue corner

Sean O'Connell

"The Real OC"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31