Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Bisping
Tim Kennedy
75%
25%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
35
Age
Δ 0y
35
31-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-6
W1
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Bisping: 40 sig / 0 TD ·
Kennedy: 51 sig / 5 TD
Michael Bisping
Tim Kennedy
47
Sig strikes landed
46
125
Sig strikes attempted
108
69
Total strikes landed
59
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.5
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
74s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
31-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
L
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
W2
Tim Kennedy
19-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—