Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Raquel Pennington vs Jessica Andrade
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Raquel Pennington
Jessica Andrade
45%
55%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
62"
26
Age
Δ 3y
22
17-10
Career record
Δ 1 pp
27-15
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Pennington: 82 sig / 2 TD ·
Andrade: 66 sig / 3 TD
Raquel Pennington
Jessica Andrade
81
Sig strikes landed
80
190
Sig strikes attempted
154
93
Total strikes landed
110
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
5.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
266s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—