Back to UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Main Middleweight

Luke Rockhold vs Constantinos Philippou

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou ·Arena at Gwinett Center
Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Luke Rockhold
Constantinos Philippou
63% 37%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
16-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
13-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rockhold: 12 sig / 0 TD · Philippou: 4 sig / 0 TD
Luke Rockhold
Constantinos Philippou
29
Sig strikes landed
32
76
Sig strikes attempted
69
33
Total strikes landed
45
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
63s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Luke Rockhold

16-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
Blue corner
L1

Constantinos Philippou

13-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
W UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—