🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Ronda Rousey vs Sara McMann
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ronda Rousey
Sara McMann
78%
22%
Why
66"
Reach
66"
27
Age
Δ 6y
33
13-2
Career record
Δ 17 pp
14-6
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rousey: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
McMann: 13 sig / 0 TD
Ronda Rousey
Sara McMann
15
Sig strikes landed
6
25
Sig strikes attempted
10
29
Total strikes landed
17
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
178s
Control time
335s
Method
Decision
15%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ronda Rousey
"Rowdy"
13-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
Blue corner
W1
Sara McMann
14-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—