Prelims1
Featherweight
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Zubaira Tukhugov
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
·Arena Jaragua
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Zubaira Tukhugov
67%
33%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
29
Age
Δ 6y
23
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva de Andrade: 27 sig / 0 TD ·
Tukhugov: 35 sig / 3 TD
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Zubaira Tukhugov
34
Sig strikes landed
37
75
Sig strikes attempted
82
49
Total strikes landed
53
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
137s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Zubaira Tukhugov
"Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23