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Main Welterweight

Viscardi Andrade vs Nicholas Musoke

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi ·Arena Jaragua
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Viscardi Andrade
Nicholas Musoke
67% 33%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
20-6
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-5
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Andrade: 24 sig / 1 TD · Musoke: 45 sig / 2 TD
Viscardi Andrade
Nicholas Musoke
15
Sig strikes landed
8
43
Sig strikes attempted
23
26
Total strikes landed
16
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.0
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
78s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
46%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Viscardi Andrade

20-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
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Blue corner
W1

Nicholas Musoke

"Nico"
14-5 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
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