🏆 Title fight
Main
Flyweight
Demetrious Johnson vs Joseph Benavidez
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
·Sleep Train Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Demetrious Johnson
Joseph Benavidez
76%
24%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
65"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
28-3-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
29-8
W4
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Johnson: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Benavidez: 4 sig / 0 TD
Demetrious Johnson
Joseph Benavidez
62
Sig strikes landed
44
126
Sig strikes attempted
130
98
Total strikes landed
69
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.9
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
214s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Demetrious Johnson
"Mighty Mouse"
28-3-1
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
D
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
W3
Joseph Benavidez
29-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—