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Main Women's Bantamweight

Julie Kedzie vs Bethe Correia

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot ·Queensland Entertainment Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Julie Kedzie
Bethe Correia
49% 51%
Why
33
Age
Δ 2y
30
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Kedzie: 54 sig / 0 TD · Correia: 65 sig / 1 TD
Julie Kedzie
Bethe Correia
32
Sig strikes landed
43
72
Sig strikes attempted
81
71
Total strikes landed
72
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.9
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
267s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Julie Kedzie

16-14
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
Blue corner

Bethe Correia

"Pitbull"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31