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Main Heavyweight

Mark Hunt vs Antonio Silva

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot ·Queensland Entertainment Centre

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Mark Hunt
Antonio Silva
30% 70%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 10"
82"
40
Age
Δ 6y
34
13-15-1
Career record
Δ 13 pp
19-13-1
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 5
Hunt: 103 sig / 2 TD · Silva: 97 sig / 0 TD
Mark Hunt
Antonio Silva
21
Sig strikes landed
28
44
Sig strikes attempted
55
28
Total strikes landed
41
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.6
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
114s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
16%
KO/TKO
72%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Mark Hunt

"Super Samoan"
13-15-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
W UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
W UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
W UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
W UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Blue corner
L1

Antonio Silva

"Bigfoot"
19-13-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
W UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
W UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
L UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir