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Vitor Belfort vs Dan Henderson

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 ·Goiania Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Vitor Belfort
Dan Henderson
59% 41%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
37
Age
Δ 7y
43
27-14
Career record
Δ 1 pp
32-16
W2
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Belfort: 12 sig / 0 TD · Henderson: 1 sig / 0 TD
Vitor Belfort
Dan Henderson
31
Sig strikes landed
23
70
Sig strikes attempted
47
43
Total strikes landed
35
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
78s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Vitor Belfort

"The Phenom"
27-14 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
W UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
L UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
W UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
Blue corner
L2

Dan Henderson

"Hendo"
32-16
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
43
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
L UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
W UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—