Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Norman Parke
Jon Tuck
83%
17%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
24-6-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
11-5
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Parke: 81 sig / 1 TD ·
Tuck: 67 sig / 0 TD
Norman Parke
Jon Tuck
44
Sig strikes landed
30
96
Sig strikes attempted
83
70
Total strikes landed
55
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.8
4.4
Takedowns attempted
6.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
193s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Norman Parke
"Stormin'"
24-6-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jon Tuck
"Super Saiyan"
11-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
—