Main
Welterweight
Josh Koscheck vs Tyron Woodley
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Josh Koscheck
Tyron Woodley
34%
66%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
17-12
Career record
Δ 9 pp
19-8-1
L2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Koscheck: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Woodley: 22 sig / 0 TD
Josh Koscheck
Tyron Woodley
25
Sig strikes landed
36
66
Sig strikes attempted
68
48
Total strikes landed
55
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.4
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.60
199s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Josh Koscheck
17-12
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
L
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
W
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
L
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Tyron Woodley
"The Chosen One"
19-8-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—