🏆 Title fight
Main
Welterweight
Georges St-Pierre vs Johny Hendricks
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Georges St-Pierre
Johny Hendricks
90%
10%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 7"
69"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
27-2
Career record
Δ 23 pp
19-8
W5
Current streak
W6
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
St-Pierre: 101 sig / 3 TD ·
Hendricks: 85 sig / 2 TD
Georges St-Pierre
Johny Hendricks
69
Sig strikes landed
36
130
Sig strikes attempted
120
99
Total strikes landed
63
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
5.5
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
243s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Georges St-Pierre
"Rush"
27-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
W
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
Blue corner
W6
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
19-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 8-1
Last 5
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
W
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—