Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ramsey Nijem
James Vick
45%
55%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
25
Age
Δ 1y
26
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Nijem: 0 sig / 1 TD ·
Vick: 0 sig / 0 TD
Ramsey Nijem
James Vick
26
Sig strikes landed
30
57
Sig strikes attempted
67
46
Total strikes landed
51
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
236s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ramsey Nijem
9-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
W
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
Blue corner
James Vick
"The Texecutioner"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27