Back to UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Prelims1 Welterweight

Pascal Krauss vs Hyun Gyu Lim

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Pascal Krauss
Hyun Gyu Lim
66% 34%
Why
26
Age
Δ 2y
29
12-2
Career record
Δ 22 pp
14-7-1
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Krauss: 21 sig / 0 TD · Lim: 26 sig / 1 TD
Pascal Krauss
Hyun Gyu Lim
60
Sig strikes landed
64
128
Sig strikes attempted
144
62
Total strikes landed
75
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.4
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
115s
Control time
43s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Pascal Krauss

"Panzer"
12-2
Career record
Height
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
L UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
W UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
Blue corner
W1

Hyun Gyu Lim

"The Ace"
14-7-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann