Prelims2
Middleweight
Jared Hamman vs Magnus Cedenblad
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
·Bradley Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jared Hamman
Magnus Cedenblad
56%
44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
79"
32
Age
Δ 0y
31
14-7
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-6
L2
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Hamman: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Cedenblad: 4 sig / 0 TD
Jared Hamman
Magnus Cedenblad
36
Sig strikes landed
30
79
Sig strikes attempted
72
54
Total strikes landed
46
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
112s
Control time
199s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Jared Hamman
"The Messenger"
14-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
L
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
Blue corner
L1
Magnus Cedenblad
"Jycken"
14-6
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—