Prelims2
Bantamweight
John Albert vs Yaotzin Meza
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
John Albert
Yaotzin Meza
44%
56%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
27
Age
Δ 6y
32
6-6
Career record
Δ 14 pp
21-12
L3
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Albert: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Meza: 4 sig / 1 TD
John Albert
Yaotzin Meza
31
Sig strikes landed
36
68
Sig strikes attempted
73
35
Total strikes landed
60
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
87s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
John Albert
"Prince"
6-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
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W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
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Blue corner
L1
Yaotzin Meza
21-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
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