Prelims2
Welterweight
Mike Pierce vs David Mitchell
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Mike Pierce
David Mitchell
51%
49%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
18-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
23-7
W3
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Pierce: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Mitchell: 17 sig / 0 TD
Mike Pierce
David Mitchell
35
Sig strikes landed
34
85
Sig strikes attempted
86
58
Total strikes landed
52
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.7
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
262s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Mike Pierce
18-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
W
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
L
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
Blue corner
W1
David Mitchell
"Daudi"
23-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—