Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Vitor Belfort
Luke Rockhold
55%
45%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
36
Age
Δ 8y
29
W1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Belfort: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Rockhold: 6 sig / 0 TD
Vitor Belfort
Luke Rockhold
24
Sig strikes landed
32
56
Sig strikes attempted
60
37
Total strikes landed
43
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
67s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
65%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Vitor Belfort
"The Phenom"
27-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
W
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
L
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
Blue corner
Luke Rockhold
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29