Main
Heavyweight
Junior Dos Santos vs Mark Hunt
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Junior Dos Santos
Mark Hunt
91%
9%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
29
Age
Δ 10y
39
21-10
Career record
Δ 19 pp
14-14-1
L1
Current streak
W4
7
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Dos Santos: 74 sig / 1 TD ·
Hunt: 29 sig / 0 TD
Junior Dos Santos
Mark Hunt
63
Sig strikes landed
24
109
Sig strikes attempted
67
75
Total strikes landed
33
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.1
Takedowns attempted
6.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
47s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21-10
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
L
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—
W
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
Blue corner
W4
Mark Hunt
"Super Samoan"
14-14-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
L
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop
—