🏆 Title fight
Main
Heavyweight
Cain Velasquez vs Antonio Silva
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cain Velasquez
Antonio Silva
77%
23%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 5"
82"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
15-3
Career record
Δ 23 pp
20-12-1
W2
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Velasquez: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 1 sig / 0 TD
Cain Velasquez
Antonio Silva
39
Sig strikes landed
30
59
Sig strikes attempted
57
53
Total strikes landed
46
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.2
3.3
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
224s
Control time
29s
Method
Decision
15%
KO/TKO
79%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Cain Velasquez
15-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—
L
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
W
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
W2
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
20-12-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
W
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
L
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—