Prelims2
Welterweight
Stephen Thompson vs Nah-Shon Burrell
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Stephen Thompson
Nah-Shon Burrell
40%
60%
Why
30
Age
Δ 7y
23
17-10-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
16-7
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Thompson: 65 sig / 2 TD ·
Burrell: 56 sig / 0 TD
Stephen Thompson
Nah-Shon Burrell
63
Sig strikes landed
60
141
Sig strikes attempted
92
76
Total strikes landed
72
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
82s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
80%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Stephen Thompson
"Wonderboy"
17-10-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
W
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
Blue corner
W1
Nah-Shon Burrell
"The Rock n Rolla"
16-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—