Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
George Roop
Reuben Duran
47%
53%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
31
Age
Δ 2y
30
15-14-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
11-8-1
L2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Roop: 33 sig / 2 TD ·
Duran: 30 sig / 1 TD
George Roop
Reuben Duran
44
Sig strikes landed
45
93
Sig strikes attempted
89
64
Total strikes landed
59
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.1
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
130s
Control time
181s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
George Roop
15-14-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
L
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
Blue corner
L1
Reuben Duran
11-8-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
L
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—