Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Nick Ring
Chris Camozzi
47%
53%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
34
Age
Δ 8y
26
15-4
Career record
Δ 13 pp
25-13
W1
Current streak
W3
4
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Ring: 86 sig / 0 TD ·
Camozzi: 64 sig / 0 TD
Nick Ring
Chris Camozzi
47
Sig strikes landed
55
114
Sig strikes attempted
131
67
Total strikes landed
73
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
200s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Nick Ring
"The Promise"
15-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
L
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
Blue corner
W3
Chris Camozzi
25-13
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
W
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
L
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
L
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—