Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Patrick Cote
Bobby Voelker
72%
28%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
W1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cote: 72 sig / 0 TD ·
Voelker: 83 sig / 4 TD
Patrick Cote
Bobby Voelker
32
Sig strikes landed
33
74
Sig strikes attempted
72
47
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
127s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
24-11
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
L
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
L
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—
L
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
—
Blue corner
Bobby Voelker
"Vicious"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34