Main
Light Heavyweight
Wanderlei Silva vs Brian Stann
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Wanderlei Silva
Brian Stann
81%
19%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
37
Age
Δ 4y
32
35-14-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
12-7
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Silva: 43 sig / 0 TD ·
Stann: 43 sig / 0 TD
Wanderlei Silva
Brian Stann
38
Sig strikes landed
37
88
Sig strikes attempted
81
53
Total strikes landed
48
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.60
Knockdowns
0.50
32s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Wanderlei Silva
"The Axe Murderer"
35-14-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
W
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
L1
Brian Stann
"All American"
12-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
L
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
W
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
—
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—