Back to UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
Prelims1 Flyweight

Phil Harris vs Ulysses Gomez

UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald ·The SSE Arena, Wembley
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Phil Harris
Ulysses Gomez
73% 27%
Why
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
22-13
Career record
Δ 3 pp
9-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Harris: 33 sig / 1 TD · Gomez: 35 sig / 0 TD
Phil Harris
Ulysses Gomez
30
Sig strikes landed
32
64
Sig strikes attempted
72
59
Total strikes landed
46
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
174s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Phil Harris

"Billy"
22-13 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
Blue corner
L1

Ulysses Gomez

"Useless"
9-6
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
—